The NBA Playoffs continue Thursday night when the Houston Rockets — after a huge 95-92 win in game 4 on the road — host the Golden State Warriors for game 5. Can the Rockets take a commanding lead in this series?
Let’s take a closer look at where the value’s at in this match.
- Houston Rockets -0.5: 1.97
- Golden State Warriors +0.5: 1.91
- OVER 219.5: 2.00 1.89
- UNDER 219.5: 1.89
What to Watch For
Ball Movement: So far this postseason, the Warriors are averaging 10 more assists per game in wins than they are in losses, 29.1 to 19. They had a season-low 14 assists in the Game 4 loss.
The Warriors are projected to finish Game 5 with 27-to-28 assists.
Betting on the Spread: The odds — at 1.91 — indicate there’s about a 52 percent chance the Warriors cover on the road. They cover the half-point spread in about 50-to-51 percent of AccuScore sims.
The average score after 10,000 simulations is 114-113, in favor of the road team.
Key Betting Trend: The Golden State Warriors are 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last five games following a loss.
Steph Curry is projected to finish with 26 points, 7 assists, 6 rebounds, 2 steals and 4 turnovers. Kevin Durant is projected to finish with 24 points, 8 rebounds, 5 assists, 2 blocks and 4 turnovers.
James Harden is projected to lead the Rockets with 31 points, 9 assists, 7 rebounds and 5 turnovers. Chris Paul averages 17 points, 8 assists and 3 steals in AccuScore sims.
This is a three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick. Odds — at 1.89 — indicates there’s a 52.8 percent chance the total combined score goes over 219.5. The total hits the OVER in 61.1 percent of simulations, suggesting quite a bit of added value on the pick.